Your suspicion is correct on both counts: 1.6 g/kg came from energy-balance hypertrophy data, and the deficit-specific evidence points higher.
Where 1.6 comes from
The figure is the breakpoint from a dose-response meta-analysis of resistance-training studies, where the regression of lean-mass gain against protein intake flattened at approximately 1.62 g/kg/day [1]. Two features of that derivation matter for you:
- The included studies were overwhelmingly conducted at or near energy balance. Nobody in that dataset was in a 40% deficit.
- The outcome was gain in lean mass, and the breakpoint is the point past which additional protein stopped buying additional gain. A breakpoint for maximising gain in energy balance is not the same quantity as the intake required to minimise loss in a large deficit.
The confidence interval around 1.62 was also wide, with the upper bound above 2.2 g/kg, which is routinely dropped when the number is quoted.
The deficit-specific randomised evidence
The trial you are asking for exists: young men on a 40% energy deficit for four weeks with intense resistance and interval training, randomised to 1.2 versus 2.4 g/kg/day, with body composition measured by DXA [2]. Result: the higher-protein group gained roughly 1.2 kg of lean mass while losing about 4.8 kg of fat; the lower-protein group was roughly lean-mass neutral at about +0.1 kg and lost about 3.5 kg of fat. Both groups trained identically and ate the same energy.
Notice that 1.2 g/kg was not catastrophic, it was merely worse. And notice that the group at 2.4 g/kg gained lean tissue in a 40% deficit, which is the strongest available demonstration that the deficit itself is not the binding constraint if protein and loading are handled.
Two caveats before you extrapolate: the participants were young, they were previously untrained or lightly trained, and the trial ran four weeks. Untrained young men gaining lean mass under any stimulus is the easiest result in exercise science. At 45, trained, over months, you should expect retention rather than gain. But the direction of the protein effect is well supported.
What number to use
Your body weight: 86 kg
1.6 g/kg (energy-balance figure): 1.6 x 86 = 138 g
2.0 g/kg: 2.0 x 86 = 172 g
2.4 g/kg (deficit trial arm): 2.4 x 86 = 206 g
Per-meal at 3 eating events, 2.0 g/kg: 172 / 3 = 57 g
Per-meal at 4 eating events, 2.0 g/kg: 172 / 4 = 43 g
For a large deficit with serious resistance training, the defensible range is 1.8-2.4 g/kg of body weight, or equivalently about 2.3-3.1 g/kg of fat-free mass, which is the range recommended for lean athletes dieting hard [3]. Treat 1.6 as your floor, not your target.
Two important qualifications for your specific case. First, if you are carrying meaningful fat mass, scale to fat-free mass rather than body weight or the body-weight figure will over-shoot. Second, and more importantly: at 206 g of protein you would be at 824 kcal from protein alone. If your total intake is genuinely 60% of maintenance, the higher end of that range may be arithmetically impossible without protein displacing all other food. In that situation the right move is to raise total energy toward a 20-25% deficit rather than push protein to the exclusion of everything else. The Longland design worked because the participants ate the prescribed energy; a 40% deficit with adequate protein is a very different thing from a 40% deficit produced by pharmacological aversion where you eat whatever you can manage.
Kidney function is worth checking at the top of that range if you have any reason to suspect impairment; in people with normal renal function, high protein intakes in this range have not been shown to cause harm, but "in people with normal renal function" is doing real work in that sentence and it is a blood test, not an assumption.
edited 13 Mar 2026 by swirl_dont_shake — tightened the wording; no substantive change
7The dropped upper confidence bound of 2.2 on the 1.62 breakpoint is the detail nobody mentions when they cite it. – marta_okonkwo 7 months ago 6Longland participants ate the prescribed energy. That distinction from drug-induced under-eating is the crux of the whole topic. – kirsi_lahtinen 5 months ago add a comment