Mechanically, the honest answer is that published stability data for these specific molecules in a research-grade presentation essentially does not exist, so what you get is extrapolation from the licensed formulations and from general peptide chemistry. That extrapolation is reasonable. It is still extrapolation.
For the solid state, residual moisture is the dominant variable. A cake at two per cent water is considerably more stable than the same cake at six per cent, because water is both a reactant in hydrolysis and a plasticiser that lowers the glass transition temperature. This is why a desiccant in the outer packaging is not theatre, and why opening a cold vial in a humid room is a genuine error — you condense water onto the cake.
The relevant detail is that aggregation is the failure mode that reverse-phase HPLC is worst at detecting, because a large soluble aggregate may not elute at all and an insoluble one is filtered out during sample preparation. If your purity result comes back normal but the vial looks hazy, believe the vial. Size-exclusion chromatography is the method that sees this.
The Arrhenius relationship underpinning accelerated stability testing is the basis of ICH Q1A, which is why accelerated studies at 40 °C and 75 per cent relative humidity are used to predict shelf life at 25 °C. The same relationship lets you reason about a warm transit lane, with the same caveats about extrapolation.
If the material arrived warm and it was lyophilised, test it and proceed on the result. If it arrived warm and it was in solution, the result is more likely to be interesting than reassuring.
8Do you have a reference for the last claim? Not disputing it, just want to read it. – fib4_reader 9 months ago add a comment