Accepted answer
At 25 °C the question is which route is fastest, not whether aggregation happens — and the routes do not share an activation energy, so their ranking changes with temperature. 25 °C is 20 kelvin above the 5 °C middle of a 2–8 °C refrigerator. The ten-degree rule of thumb — degradation rate roughly doubling per 10 K — makes that about 4 times the refrigerated rate, which is an order-of-magnitude statement and not a shelf life. That multiplier is an average over every route at once, which is exactly why it cannot tell you which one wins. Molecules associate without any covalent change, so the mass is unchanged and a reversed-phase run — which is performed in organic solvent — mostly dissolves the evidence before it can be measured. So the way to answer it for your vial is to pick the method that sees aggregation specifically and run it against a control held cold, rather than to infer a mechanism from a purity number that averages all of them.
Start with the sequence, because which pathways are available depends on which residues are present.
Oxidation targets methionine, cysteine and tryptophan, adding sixteen daltons per oxygen. It is catalysed by trace metals and promoted by dissolved oxygen and by light.
A mass spectrum resolves most of this: minus eighteen is dehydration or succinimide, plus one is deamidation, plus sixteen is oxidation, and an unchanged mass with a shifted retention time is an isomer.
Metal-catalysed oxidation of methionine is documented across peptide and protein formulations and is why chelators appear in some formulations.
Nothing here is medical advice, and research-use compounds are not approved for human use.
At dilute concentrations, suspect adsorption before you suspect chemistry.
7I have kept vials both ways for a year and this matches what I saw. – deamidation_watch 3 months ago add a comment