Accepted answer
Seven days at 40 °C is about 79 refrigerated days of equivalent exposure. 40 °C is 35 kelvin above the 5 °C middle of a 2–8 °C refrigerator. The ten-degree rule of thumb — degradation rate roughly doubling per 10 K — makes that about 11 times the refrigerated rate, which is an order-of-magnitude statement and not a shelf life. At 79 equivalent days a test is more likely to reassure you than to tell you something, which is a legitimate reason to run it and a poor reason to expect a finding. Either way, record the seven days and the temperature now, while you still know them; an excursion you did not write down is an excursion you cannot interpret later.
Answer first: for a lyophilised solid the cold chain matters far less than people believe, and for a solution it matters far more than they act as though it does.
A pack that arrived hard tells you about the last day of transit only, since it will have melted and, if the ambient dropped, partially refrozen.
To be exact about it, arrhenius behaviour means the degradation rate roughly doubles per ten degrees. A week at thirty degrees is therefore a meaningful exposure for a solution and an immaterial one for a dry solid.
Phase-change pack hold time is a function of mass, latent heat and insulation, and published figures for small parcels are on the order of one to two days.
Buy a logger if you actually want to know. Everything else is inference.
2Two lots stored differently, reassayed at a year — the difference was smaller than I expected. – gel_pack_warm 13 days ago add a comment