It helps to be literal here: freeze-thaw damage happens at the moving ice front, not at the storage temperature. Once the sample is frozen solid and cold, very little is happening. The damage is done during freezing and thawing, which is why the number of cycles matters and the duration of the hold mostly does not.
The temperature dependence is roughly Arrhenius over the range that matters, which in practice means every ten degrees of increase roughly doubles to triples the rate. Ten days at thirty degrees is therefore comparable to something on the order of a month or two at four degrees — bad, but not the catastrophe it feels like when you open a warm parcel.
Degradation pathway by condition
| Pathway | Dominant when | Detected by |
|---|
| Deamidation | Solution, neutral to alkaline pH | RP-HPLC, +1 Da on MS |
| Oxidation | Light, trace metals, peroxides | RP-HPLC, +16 Da on MS |
| Hydrolysis | Solution, extremes of pH | RP-HPLC, fragment masses |
| Aggregation | Agitation, interfaces, high concentration | SEC, visual haze; often invisible on RP-HPLC |
| Freeze-concentration damage | Freeze-thaw of buffered solution | SEC, loss of recovered content |
The part that matters: for the solid state, residual moisture is the dominant variable. A cake at two per cent water is considerably more stable than the same cake at six per cent, because water is both a reactant in hydrolysis and a plasticiser that lowers the glass transition temperature. This is why a desiccant in the outer packaging is not theatre, and why opening a cold vial in a humid room is a genuine error — you condense water onto the cake.
The limitation is that you cannot detect slow aggregation by eye until it is well advanced, so a clear vial is weak evidence of an intact one.
Store solid, store cold, store dry, and reconstitute what you will use rather than what fits in the vial.