Put another way, evaluate a supplier on the documentation they cannot fabricate cheaply, which in practice means lot-specific certificates from a laboratory that hosts its own reports and a testing history that spans more than one lot.
A defensible group-buy structure has three properties: the material is tested before it is split, the test is paid for from the pool rather than by the organiser, and the split is documented with photographs and a per-participant record of lot, volume and date. If any participant can reconstruct what they received from the records, a later dispute is resolvable. If not, it is not.
Cost per milligram, adjusted honestly
| Step | Value | Note |
|---|
| Vial price, 10 mg nominal | £34.00 | As advertised |
| Nominal cost per mg | £3.40 | 34 ÷ 10 |
| Measured content | 9.2 mg | Independent content assay |
| Cost per actual mg | £3.70 | 34 ÷ 9.2 |
| Dead-space loss, 20 draws | 4 % | 80 µL of a 2 mL fill |
| Cost per delivered mg | £3.85 | 3.70 ÷ 0.96 |
| First vial, with £110 assay | £14.85 | Testing dominates a single vial |
Cost per milligram, worked honestly: a 10 mg vial at £34 is £3.40 per nominal milligram. If the content assay says 9.2 mg, that is £3.70 per actual milligram. If you then lose 4 µL of dead space per draw from a 2 mL fill across twenty draws, that is 80 µL or four per cent of the fill, taking you to £3.85. Add a £110 content assay amortised across the vial and it is £14.85 per milligram for the first vial of a new lot and £3.85 thereafter. The testing dominates, which is the actual argument for buying larger lots.
Independent testing costs have been stable enough over the past two years that amortisation arithmetic across a lot is worth doing before choosing a lot size, and the numbers usually favour a larger lot tested once over several small lots tested never.
The evidence you want is boring: the same result, from an independent laboratory, across more than one lot, over more than one year.
The arithmetic checks out. I ran the same numbers and got the same result. – tyndall_haze 8 months ago add a comment