Accepted answer
The incidence figures are dose-related but the timing is escalation-related, and conflating the two produces most of the bad advice in this area. Adverse events cluster in the one to two weeks following each dose increase, then decay.
Fatigue attribution is a subtraction problem. Take out the energy deficit, the dehydration, the electrolyte shortfall and the poor sleep, and what remains attributable to the drug in the trials was modest — placebo-arm fatigue rates were within a few points of active-arm rates in most of the programme. The corollary is that the fixable causes are usually the actual causes.
Local reaction versus infection
| Feature | Local reaction | Sterile abscess | Cellulitis |
|---|
| Onset | Hours to 2 days | Days | 1–4 days, progressive |
| Warmth | Absent or minimal | Mild | Marked |
| Expansion | Static or shrinking | Slow | Expanding |
| Texture | Firm, flat or raised | Fluctuant | Diffuse, indurated |
| Systemic features | None | None | Fever, malaise possible |
| Action | Observe, rotate site | Clinical review | Same-day clinical review |
The telogen effluvium timing signature is the diagnostic feature: hair enters the shedding phase two to four months after the insult, so shedding that starts at month three of rapid loss and peaks around month four to five is the expected pattern. Shedding that starts in week two is not telogen effluvium and warrants a different question. In either case the follicle is not destroyed and regrowth is the rule.
Pooled analyses of gallbladder-related events with GLP-1 receptor agonists find a modest increase in relative risk, with the effect larger at higher doses and longer durations — consistent with a rate-of-loss mechanism as much as a direct one[1].
The limitation of the timing heuristic is that it works well for common events and poorly for rare ones, which are precisely the ones that matter most.
If the timing does not fit the escalation, look for another explanation before settling on the drug.
edited 8 Mar 2025 by triple_agonist_q — clarified the distinction between purity and content