Seven days at 37 °C is about 64 refrigerated days of equivalent exposure. 37 °C is 32 kelvin above the 5 °C middle of a 2–8 °C refrigerator. The ten-degree rule of thumb — degradation rate roughly doubling per 10 K — makes that about 9.2 times the refrigerated rate, which is an order-of-magnitude statement and not a shelf life. At 64 equivalent days a test is more likely to reassure you than to tell you something, which is a legitimate reason to run it and a poor reason to expect a finding. Either way, record the seven days and the temperature now, while you still know them; an excursion you did not write down is an excursion you cannot interpret later.
The short version: a spent cold pack on arrival is expected, the solid does not mind, and the pack was never going to last twelve days.
A single phase-change pack in a thin-walled box holds below ten degrees for roughly one to two days at twenty-five degrees ambient, and under a day at thirty-five. On a nine-to-fourteen-day lane the material is at ambient for most of the journey whatever was packed with it.
Degradation pathway by condition
| Pathway | Dominant when | Detected by |
|---|
| Deamidation | Solution, neutral to alkaline pH | RP-HPLC, +1 Da on MS |
| Oxidation | Light, trace metals, peroxides | RP-HPLC, +16 Da on MS |
| Hydrolysis | Solution, extremes of pH | RP-HPLC, fragment masses |
| Aggregation | Agitation, interfaces, high concentration | SEC, visual haze; often invisible on RP-HPLC |
| Freeze-concentration damage | Freeze-thaw of buffered solution | SEC, loss of recovered content |
Stated carefully, a single-use temperature logger costs a few pounds, records the whole journey and converts an argument into a record. If the history matters, this is the answer.
The caveat is that a warm transit is survivable for a solid and materially different for a solution.
Buy a logger if you actually want to know. Everything else is inference.
5I have kept vials both ways for a year and this matches what I saw. – liam_bracken 3 months ago 4Confirming that opening a cold vial in a humid room is a genuinely bad idea. – tobias_maartens 2 months ago add a comment