Accepted answer
Worth being precise here: the titration schedule is a tolerability instrument, not an efficacy one. Nothing in the ladder is there to make the compound work better; every step exists to make the gastrointestinal adverse-event curve survivable.
Steady state, worked: with a half-life of about seven days and weekly administration, the accumulation ratio is roughly 1/(1 − 0.5) = 2, and you get to within about 97 per cent of steady state after five half-lives, so around thirty-five days — five weeks — after any dose change. A four-week step interval therefore has you escalating at roughly 94 per cent of the previous dose’s steady state, which is close enough to be sensible and not so close as to be conservative.
Weekly dosing accumulation, 7-day half-life
| Week | Fraction of steady state | Trough as × dose |
|---|
| 1 | 50 % | 0.50 |
| 2 | 75 % | 0.75 |
| 3 | 88 % | 0.88 |
| 4 | 94 % | 0.94 |
| 5 | 97 % | 0.97 |
| 6 | 98 % | 0.98 |
This is why a four-week step interval is approximately, but not exactly, steady state.
Stated carefully, the maintenance question turns on what you are maintaining. If the objective is weight maintenance, the withdrawal-extension data suggests that a fraction of the therapeutic dose retains a substantial fraction of the effect. If the objective is the cardiovascular or renal endpoint, the trials that demonstrated those endpoints used the full dose, and extrapolating downward is not supported by anything.
The STEP programme escalated semaglutide over sixteen weeks in four-week steps to 2.4 mg weekly, and the trial-product estimand versus treatment-policy estimand distinction accounts for most of the difference between the figures quoted from those papers.
Escalate on tolerability, hold when it costs you, and do not confuse a flattening curve with a failing drug.