Concretely, answering this requires distinguishing the maximum studied dose from the maximum useful dose. The trials established the former. The latter is a per-person question that the trials were not designed to answer.
Steady state, worked: with a half-life of about seven days and weekly administration, the accumulation ratio is roughly 1/(1 − 0.5) = 2, and you get to within about 97 per cent of steady state after five half-lives, so around thirty-five days — five weeks — after any dose change. A four-week step interval therefore has you escalating at roughly 94 per cent of the previous dose’s steady state, which is close enough to be sensible and not so close as to be conservative.
Weekly dosing accumulation, 7-day half-life
| Week | Fraction of steady state | Trough as × dose |
|---|
| 1 | 50 % | 0.50 |
| 2 | 75 % | 0.75 |
| 3 | 88 % | 0.88 |
| 4 | 94 % | 0.94 |
| 5 | 97 % | 0.97 |
| 6 | 98 % | 0.98 |
This is why a four-week step interval is approximately, but not exactly, steady state.
Extending the interval and reducing the dose are not equivalent manoeuvres. Reducing the dose lowers the whole concentration-time curve proportionally. Extending the interval lowers the average but deepens the trough, and for a compound whose effect on appetite tracks concentration, a deep trough is felt.
The STEP programme escalated semaglutide over sixteen weeks in four-week steps to 2.4 mg weekly, and the trial-product estimand versus treatment-policy estimand distinction accounts for most of the difference between the figures quoted from those papers.
Worth noting that inter-individual variability in exposure at a given dose is substantial, which is why the ladder exists rather than a single population dose.
Escalate on tolerability, hold when it costs you, and do not confuse a flattening curve with a failing drug.
6Good answer, but the confidence interval in the cited trial is wider than implied. – tobias_maartens 3 months ago add a comment