Accepted answer
At minus 80 °C the question is which route is fastest, not whether aspartimide formation happens — and the routes do not share an activation energy, so their ranking changes with temperature. minus 80 °C is 85 kelvin below a refrigerator, and below the glass transition of a lyophilised cake the ten-degree rule of thumb stops applying at all — solid-state chemistry is not slow liquid chemistry, it is a different regime, and the failure modes that survive it are mechanical rather than chemical. That multiplier is an average over every route at once, which is exactly why it cannot tell you which one wins. A cyclic imide at Asp, eighteen daltons lighter, which then reopens to a mixture including the iso-aspartyl form — same formula as the parent, different molecule, and invisible to a mass-only method. So the way to answer it for your vial is to pick the method that sees aspartimide formation specifically and run it against a control held cold, rather than to infer a mechanism from a purity number that averages all of them.
Answering this needs the physical state, since a dry powder is protected from most of these and a solution is protected from none.
Oxidation targets methionine, cysteine and tryptophan, adding sixteen daltons per oxygen. It is catalysed by trace metals and promoted by dissolved oxygen and by light.
Reported and extrapolated stability by condition
| State | Condition | Usable window | Basis |
|---|
| Lyophilised solid | −20 °C, sealed, dry | 24–36 months | Supplier guidance |
| Lyophilised solid | 2–8 °C, sealed | 12–24 months | Supplier guidance |
| Lyophilised solid | 25 °C, sealed | 4–8 weeks | Extrapolated (Arrhenius) |
| Lyophilised solid | 40 °C, sealed | 1–2 weeks | Extrapolated |
| Solution, preserved | 2–8 °C | 28 days | USP microbiological convention |
| Solution, preserved | 25 °C | 3–7 days | Extrapolated |
| Solution, unpreserved | 2–8 °C | 24 hours | USP microbiological convention |
Windows for the solid state are chemical; windows for solution are microbiological and usually shorter than the chemical limit.
A mass spectrum resolves most of this: minus eighteen is dehydration or succinimide, plus one is deamidation, plus sixteen is oxidation, and an unchanged mass with a shifted retention time is an isomer.
Metal-catalysed oxidation of methionine is documented across peptide and protein formulations and is why chelators appear in some formulations.
Sequence determines which pathways apply, so general statements are general.
Swirl, never shake. Aggregation is a handling problem more than a time problem.