Accepted answer
twelve weeks is 84 days, which at 2–8 °C is on the order of 84 refrigerated days. 2–8 °C is the condition the rule of thumb is anchored to, so it is the baseline rather than a multiplier: everything else in this thread is quoted relative to it. In solution the routes that matter are hydrolysis of the backbone, deamidation at Asn, and physical association — the first two cost content, the third costs neither until it precipitates. Over 84 days at 2–8 °C you should expect all three to have moved, and a purity figure to have noticed only some of them. Reconstituted material has no certificate; the one in the box describes the powder.
Start with the sequence, because which pathways are available depends on which residues are present.
Adsorption onto glass and plastic is significant at low concentrations — micrograms per millilitre — and negligible at milligrams per millilitre. It is the usual explanation for an apparent loss in a dilute preparation.
The underlying point is that hydrolysis cleaves the backbone, most readily at aspartate-proline and aspartate-glycine sequences, and is acid-catalysed. In a dry solid it barely proceeds at all.
Metal-catalysed oxidation of methionine is documented across peptide and protein formulations and is why chelators appear in some formulations.
Sequence determines which pathways apply, so general statements are general.
Swirl, never shake. Aggregation is a handling problem more than a time problem.
edited 14 Nov 2024 by lyoph_cake — fixed an arithmetic slip in the third paragraph