Accepted answer
Whatever the refrigerated figure is, divide it by about 1. 2–8 °C is the condition the rule of thumb is anchored to, so it is the baseline rather than a multiplier: everything else in this thread is quoted relative to it. So a preparation with a twenty-eight day refrigerated figure has roughly 28 days at 2–8 °C on the same assumption — an order-of-magnitude answer, not a shelf life, and it says nothing about sterility, which has its own clock. "Within specification" also needs a specification: purity, content, or both, and at what limit. Without that the question has no numerical answer at all.
The short version: water enables most of it, oxygen enables oxidation, surfaces enable adsorption, and agitation enables aggregation.
Light exposure matters for tryptophan-containing sequences and for anything with a chromophore. Amber vials and a closed box are free mitigations.
Aggregation is physical: peptides unfold at air-liquid interfaces and associate. Shaking maximises that interface, which is why swirling and shaking produce visibly different outcomes on the same vial.
Deamidation via the succinimide intermediate is well characterised, with sequence-dependent rates highest for asparagine-glycine motifs.
Sequence determines which pathways apply, so general statements are general.
Sequence decides which pathways are even available. Check the residues.