The incidence figures are dose-related but the timing is escalation-related, and conflating the two produces most of the bad advice in this area. Adverse events cluster in the one to two weeks following each dose increase, then decay.
Injection-site reactions are more often diluent-related than peptide-related. Benzyl alcohol sensitivity is uncommon but real, and it presents as a consistent local reaction at every site with a preserved diluent and no reaction with an unpreserved one — which is a straightforward thing to establish. Injection depth is the other common cause: intradermal placement stings and welts, subcutaneous placement usually does not.
On the detail: distinguishing an injection-site nodule from an infection: a nodule is firm, non-tender or mildly tender, not warm, not expanding, and appears within a day or two. Cellulitis is warm, tender, expanding, and often accompanied by systemic features. A sterile abscess sits between the two and is fluctuant. Warmth plus expansion plus fever is the combination that stops being a forum question.
The caveat that actually matters: this is pattern recognition from published data, not a clinical assessment of you. Anything severe, persistent or accompanied by systemic features belongs with a clinician the same day.
Write down in advance which symptoms mean stop and seek care. It is a short list and it is much easier to write when you are well.