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Is 36 mg weekly a defensible maintenance dose for orforglipron?

Asked 23 Mar 2024Modified 2.0 years agoViewed 37k times
35

Numbers first: 36 mg · orforglipron.

This is a planning question. I know what my options are; I do not know how to weigh them.

What I want is the minimum viable version, which I suspect is smaller than what I would design.

What is the minimum version of this that is still defensible?

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askedt_oyelaran79k4823 Mar 2024
5Worth adding whether anything else glucose-lowering is on board. – haze_check 4 months ago
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5 Answers

Accepted answer first, then by votes
148

Accepted answer

36 mg a week is 5.143 mg a day averaged out and 1872 mg over a year — but "defensible" is not a property of the number, it is a property of where the number came from. A maintenance dose is defensible when a trial randomised people to it and reported what happened, and indefensible when it was arrived at by interpolation between two doses that were studied. So the question to ask of 36 mg is which arm it corresponds to: if a programme ran 36 mg as a maintenance level, there is an efficacy figure, a tolerability figure and a discontinuation rate attached to it. If it sits between two studied levels, everything said about it is extrapolation, and the burden of that is on whoever proposed it. The other half of the arithmetic is supply: at 36 mg a week a 10 mg vial is 0.28 weeks and you will need about 188 of them a year, which is worth knowing before the dose is settled rather than after. Maintenance doses are set by a prescriber against an individual; nothing here is medical advice.

The relevant observation is that maintenance frequently requires less exposure than the loss phase did, and the trials suggest it rather than establish it.

A downward search proceeds one step at a time with at least eight weeks at each level, because a weekly agent takes four to five weeks to reach the new steady state and then needs time for the trend to be readable.

Weekly dosing accumulation, 7-day half-life

WeekFraction of steady stateTrough as × dose
150 %0.50
275 %0.75
388 %0.88
494 %0.94
597 %0.97
698 %0.98

This is why a four-week step interval is approximately, but not exactly, steady state.

In practice, glycaemic maintenance has a faster and cleaner signal than weight maintenance, particularly with continuous monitoring, which makes the downward search more tractable when glycaemia is the endpoint.

STEP-4 and SURMOUNT-4 evaluated withdrawal rather than dose reduction, which is the limit of the direct evidence on this question.

The caveat is that dose reduction is a clinical decision and this is a description of a search strategy rather than a recommendation.

Glycaemic maintenance gives a faster signal than weight maintenance.

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answered · acceptedbounty_hunter_q15k1730 Mar 2024
2Adding for future readers: write down what "working" means before you start. – loss_on_drying 8 months ago
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60

To be exact about it, this is a question the trial programmes answered only partially, and it is worth saying which parts are evidenced.

Maintenance and loss are different endpoints. Loss requires a sustained energy deficit; maintenance requires only that the counter-regulatory drive is offset, and that may need less exposure.

It helps to be literal here: the withdrawal trials — STEP-4 and SURMOUNT-4 — established what happens when treatment stops entirely. They did not evaluate dose reduction, so the evidence for a lower maintenance dose is inference rather than data.

Inference from the withdrawal trials to dose reduction is inference and should be labelled as such.

The withdrawal trials answer stopping, not reducing. Different questions.

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answeredDr_Otto_Lindqvist72k5817 Jul 2024
46

Answer first: the maintenance dose is the lowest one that holds the result, and finding it is a downward search rather than an upward one.

The maintenance dose is not necessarily the same a year later, since the counter-regulatory response attenuates slowly if at all.

In practice, weight is a noisy signal. A rolling four-week average is the instrument; single weigh-ins after a dose reduction will show nothing interpretable.

The counter-regulatory hormonal response to weight loss persists for at least a year after the loss, which is the physiological reason maintenance needs something rather than nothing.

A noisy weight signal makes premature conclusions easy, in both directions.

Search downward, one step, eight weeks each, on a rolling average.

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OF
answeredorla_ferriter89k14822 Apr 2024
2Same experience here, different supplier. – bac_or_bust 30 days ago
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38

More usefully, reducing the dose is not the same as stopping, and the withdrawal trials tell you about the second rather than the first.

If the result deteriorates on a lower dose, returning to the previous one is straightforward and does not require re-titration from the bottom provided the gap has been short.

Nothing here is medical advice, and research-use compounds are not approved for human use.

Going back up after a short gap does not require re-titrating from the bottom.

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answeredv_ramaswamy68k5711 Apr 2024
3Stepping back down being normal rather than a failure is worth saying out loud. – loss_on_drying 2 months ago
2Adding that re-titrating after a gap is not optional, as I discovered. – Dr_Yusuf_Adeyemi 3 days ago
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32

The honest answer is that the maintenance dose is individual and that the search for it is slow because the feedback is slow.

Gastrointestinal tolerability generally improves on a reduced dose, which is a genuine quality-of-life argument for the search rather than only a cost one.

Dose-response for weight in the trial programmes was real but flattening at the upper end, which is consistent with a lower maintenance requirement.

The caveat that matters: dose decisions on a licensed medicine belong with a prescriber, and dose decisions on research-use-only material belong to a category where nobody has any obligation to you at all.

The lowest dose that holds the result is the answer, and it is individual.

edited 7 Jul 2024 by sample_id — clarified the distinction between purity and content

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answeredsample_id17k2714 Jun 2024
5Adding a vote because this deserves more of them. – Dr_Bram_Verhoeven 8 months ago
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Your answer

Ask PeptideStack is a static archive. Posting is closed, but the norms are worth stating: answer the question that was asked, show your working, cite the trial or the certificate, and say plainly where the evidence runs out.

Not medical advice. Research-use-only compounds are not approved for human use.